Nuggets vs Clippers prediction NBA · Wednesday, November 12
At a glance
The LA Clippers (3-7) host the Denver Nuggets (8-2) on Wednesday, November 12 at 10:30 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. Final score: Nuggets 130 – Clippers 116. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 59% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Clippers are 3-4 at home and the Nuggets are 2-2 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Clippers and 8-2 for the Nuggets (current streaks: Clippers L5, Nuggets W5).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Nuggets, but the Clippers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Clippers 112 – 115 Nuggets, a margin of about 2.9 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Nuggets played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+0.2 vs +6.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Clippers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (122.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Clippers' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DENLAC
Top performers
Nuggets
Nikola JokicC · #1555pts / gameNikola JokicC · #156assistsNikola JokicC · #1512reboundsClippers
James HardenG · #123pts / game
Bogdan BogdanovicG · #316assists
Ivica ZubacC · #409reboundsRecent form
DENLACHead-to-head
DEN lead 2-1 this season.
DEN
Team comparison
| DEN | LAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 8-2 | Record | 3-7 |
| 122.2 | Points scored / game | 111.1 |
| 114.1 | Points allowed / game | 110.8 |
| +6.9 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.2 |
| W5 | Current streak | L5 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 games | 3-7 |
| 2-2 road | Home / road record | 3-4 home |
| 50-32 (+3.9) | Last season | 50-32 (+4.7) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Nuggets
Injury report Clippers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.