Clippers vs Nuggets prediction NBA · Friday, January 30
At a glance
The Denver Nuggets (32-16) host the LA Clippers (22-24) on Friday, January 30 at 9:00 PM ET at Ball Arena in NBA action. Final score: Clippers 109 – Nuggets 122. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 61% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Nuggets are 13-9 at home and the Clippers are 9-15 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Nuggets and 9-1 for the Clippers (current streaks: Nuggets W1, Clippers W3).
The analysis Model
The Nuggets are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Nuggets 116 – 113 Clippers, a margin of about 3.5 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Nuggets played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The Clippers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (120.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Clippers' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
LACDEN
Top performers
Clippers
James HardenG · #125pts / gameJames HardenG · #19assists
Ivica ZubacC · #407reboundsNuggets
Nikola JokicC · #1531pts / game
Jamal MurrayG · #279assistsNikola JokicC · #1512reboundsRecent form
LACDENHead-to-head
DEN lead 2-1 this season.
DEN
Team comparison
| LAC | DEN | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-24 | Record | 32-16 |
| 112.7 | Points scored / game | 120.2 |
| 111.8 | Points allowed / game | 116.0 |
| +0.8 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.6 |
| W3 | Current streak | W1 |
| 9-1 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 9-15 road | Home / road record | 13-9 home |
| 50-32 (+4.7) | Last season | 50-32 (+3.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Clippers
Injury report Nuggets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.