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Bucks vs Bulls prediction NBA · Sunday, October 12

FinalUnited Center · CHSN, FanDuel SN WI, NBA League Pass
Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks
3-0 · away
Final score
127-121
Projected: 117-116
Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
2-1 · home
54% win MILwin CHI 46%
FavoriteMIL
Projected margin1.1
Projected total233
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Chicago Bulls host the Milwaukee Bucks on Sunday, October 12 at 7:00 PM ET at United Center in NBA action. Final score: Bucks 127 – Bulls 121. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bucks a 54% chance to win: prediction correct.

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Bulls 116 – 117 Bucks, a margin of about 1.1 points in favor of the Bucks and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Bucks' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.0 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bulls
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHI -1.3 / MIL +2.1 per game
-3.4
Home-court advantageBulls at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Bulls
-1.1

Scenarios

Bulls win by 10+
19%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Bucks win by 10+
24%

Stat comparison Current season

MILCHI
115.5
Points scored / game
117.8
113.0
Points allowed / game
119.4
44.9 %
Field goal %
42.1 %
34.0 %
3-point %
27.6 %
41.2
3-pointers attempted / game
42.0
71.6 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
49.8
Rebounds / game
44.8
24.6
Assists / game
24.4
5.8
Steals / game
9.0
4.0
Blocks / game
4.8
16.8
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Bucks
Myles TurnerC · #319pts / game
Kevin Porter Jr.G · #78assists
Giannis AntetokounmpoF · #710rebounds
Bulls
Ayo DosunmuG · #1322pts / game
Josh GiddeyG · #37assists
Nikola VucevicC · #99rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MIL
No games played yet.
CHI
No games played yet.

Team comparison

MILCHI
3-0Record2-1
115.5Points scored / game117.8
113.0Points allowed / game119.4
+2.1Adjusted margin / game-1.3
–Current streak–
–Last 10 games–
–Home / road record–
48-34 (+2.5)Last season39-43 (-1.6)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Milwaukee Bucks Injury report Bucks

No injuries reported.

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.