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Bulls vs Bucks prediction NBA · Tuesday, February 3

FinalFiserv Forum · NBA League Pass, CHSN, FanDuel SN WI
Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
24-27 · away
Final score
115-131
Projected: 115-117
Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks
19-29 · home
44% win CHIwin MIL 56%
FavoriteMIL
Projected margin1.8
Projected total232
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Milwaukee Bucks (18-29) host the Chicago Bulls (24-26) on Tuesday, February 3 at 8:00 PM ET at Fiserv Forum in NBA action. Final score: Bulls 115 – Bucks 131. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bucks a 56% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Bucks are 9-12 at home and the Bulls are 9-15 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Bucks and 5-5 for the Bulls (current streaks: Bucks L5, Bulls L1).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Bucks 117 – 115 Bulls, a margin of about 1.8 points in favor of the Bucks and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Bulls' offense (117.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Bucks' defense allows clearly fewer points (115.1 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bucks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MIL -2.6 / CHI -2.1 per game
-0.5
Home-court advantageBucks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Bucks
+1.8

Scenarios

Bucks win by 10+
26%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Bulls win by 10+
17%

Stat comparison Current season

CHIMIL
117.3
Points scored / game
112.0
119.8
Points allowed / game
115.1
42.1 %
Field goal %
44.9 %
27.6 %
3-point %
34.0 %
42.0
3-pointers attempted / game
41.2
78.6 %
Free throw %
71.6 %
44.8
Rebounds / game
49.8
24.4
Assists / game
24.6
9.0
Steals / game
5.8
4.8
Blocks / game
4.0
17.8
Turnovers / game
16.8

Top performers

Bulls
Matas BuzelisF · #1422pts / game
Ayo DosunmuG · #138assists
Coby WhiteG · #310rebounds
Bucks
Kyle KuzmaF · #1831pts / game
Ryan RollinsG · #1310assists
Kyle KuzmaF · #1810rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHI
No games played yet.
MIL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CHIMIL
24-26Record18-29
117.3Points scored / game112.0
119.8Points allowed / game115.1
-2.1Adjusted margin / game-2.6
L1Current streakL5
5-5Last 10 games2-8
9-15 roadHome / road record9-12 home
39-43 (-1.6)Last season48-34 (+2.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Milwaukee Bucks Injury report Bucks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.