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Bucks vs Bulls prediction NBA · Saturday, December 27

FinalUnited Center · CHSN, FanDuel SN WI, NBA League Pass
Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks
13-19 · away
Final score
112-103
Projected: 116-118
Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
15-16 · home
44% win MILwin CHI 56%
FavoriteCHI
Projected margin1.8
Projected total233
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Chicago Bulls (15-15) host the Milwaukee Bucks (12-19) on Saturday, December 27 at 8:00 PM ET at United Center in NBA action. Final score: Bucks 112 – Bulls 103. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bulls a 56% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Bulls are 8-6 at home and the Bucks are 4-11 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Bulls and 3-7 for the Bucks (current streaks: Bulls W5, Bucks L1).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Bulls 118 – 116 Bucks, a margin of about 1.8 points in favor of the Bulls and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Bulls and the Bucks played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Bucks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Bulls' offense (118.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Bucks' defense allows clearly fewer points (115.5 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bulls
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHI -2.2 / MIL -1.7 per game
-0.5
Home-court advantageBulls at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Bulls
+1.8

Scenarios

Bulls win by 10+
26%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Bucks win by 10+
17%

Stat comparison Current season

MILCHI
113.5
Points scored / game
118.9
115.5
Points allowed / game
121.5
44.9 %
Field goal %
42.1 %
34.0 %
3-point %
27.6 %
41.2
3-pointers attempted / game
42.0
71.6 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
49.8
Rebounds / game
44.8
24.6
Assists / game
24.4
5.8
Steals / game
9.0
4.0
Blocks / game
4.8
16.8
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Bucks
Giannis AntetokounmpoF · #729pts / game
Kevin Porter Jr.G · #79assists
Bobby PortisF · #9511rebounds
Bulls
Nikola VucevicC · #916pts / game
Josh GiddeyG · #39assists
Zach CollinsF · #1210rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MIL
No games played yet.
CHI
No games played yet.

Team comparison

MILCHI
12-19Record15-15
113.5Points scored / game118.9
115.5Points allowed / game121.5
-1.7Adjusted margin / game-2.2
L1Current streakW5
3-7Last 10 games6-4
4-11 roadHome / road record8-6 home
48-34 (+2.5)Last season39-43 (-1.6)
YesPlayed yesterdayYes

Milwaukee Bucks Injury report Bucks

No injuries reported.

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.