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Bucks vs Bulls prediction NBA · Sunday, March 1

FinalUnited Center · CHSN, FanDuel SN WI, NBA League Pass
47% win MILwin CHI 53%
FavoriteCHI
Projected margin0.8
Projected total232
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Chicago Bulls (24-36) host the Milwaukee Bucks (26-32) on Sunday, March 1 at 3:30 PM ET at United Center in NBA action. Final score: Bucks 97 – Bulls 120. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bulls a 53% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Bulls are 15-17 at home and the Bucks are 12-18 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 0-10 for the Bulls and 7-3 for the Bucks (current streaks: Bulls L11, Bucks L1).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Bulls 117 – 116 Bucks, a margin of about 0.8 points in favor of the Bulls and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Bucks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Bulls' offense (116.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Bucks' defense allows clearly fewer points (115.2 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bulls
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHI -3.6 / MIL -2.1 per game
-1.5
Home-court advantageBulls at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Bulls
+0.8

Scenarios

Bulls win by 10+
23%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Bucks win by 10+
19%

Stat comparison Current season

MILCHI
112.7
Points scored / game
116.1
115.2
Points allowed / game
120.3
44.9 %
Field goal %
42.1 %
34.0 %
3-point %
27.6 %
41.2
3-pointers attempted / game
42.0
71.6 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
49.8
Rebounds / game
44.8
24.6
Assists / game
24.4
5.8
Steals / game
9.0
4.0
Blocks / game
4.8
16.8
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Bucks
Bobby PortisF · #9518pts / game
Ryan RollinsG · #137assists
Jericho SimsC · #0011rebounds
Bulls
Collin SextonG · #1022pts / game
Josh GiddeyG · #310assists
Josh GiddeyG · #314rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MIL
No games played yet.
CHI
No games played yet.

Team comparison

MILCHI
26-32Record24-36
112.7Points scored / game116.1
115.2Points allowed / game120.3
-2.1Adjusted margin / game-3.6
L1Current streakL11
7-3Last 10 games0-10
12-18 roadHome / road record15-17 home
48-34 (+2.5)Last season39-43 (-1.6)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Milwaukee Bucks Injury report Bucks

No injuries reported.

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.