Raptors vs Wizards prediction NBA · Sunday, October 12
At a glance
The Washington Wizards host the Toronto Raptors on Sunday, October 12 at 3:00 PM ET at Capital One Arena in NBA action. Final score: Raptors 113 – Wizards 112. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Raptors a 64% chance to win: prediction correct.
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Raptors, but the Wizards have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Wizards 111 – 116 Raptors, a margin of about 4.6 points in favor of the Raptors and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (-10.6 vs -3.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Raptors' defense allows clearly fewer points (115.2 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
TORWSH
Top performers
Raptors
Immanuel QuickleyG · #518pts / game
Scottie BarnesF · #44assistsScottie BarnesF · #412reboundsWizards
CJ McCollumG · #319pts / game
Khris MiddletonF · #225assistsKhris MiddletonF · #229reboundsRecent form
TORWSHHead-to-head
TOR lead 2-1 this season.
WSH
Team comparison
| TOR | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-1 | Record | 0-1 |
| 110.9 | Points scored / game | 108.0 |
| 115.2 | Points allowed / game | 120.4 |
| -3.6 | Adjusted margin / game | -10.6 |
| – | Current streak | – |
| – | Last 10 games | – |
| – | Home / road record | – |
| 30-52 (-4.3) | Last season | 18-64 (-12.4) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Raptors
Injury report Wizards
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.