Raptors vs Wizards prediction NBA · Friday, December 26
At a glance
The Washington Wizards (5-23) host the Toronto Raptors (18-13) on Friday, December 26 at 7:00 PM ET at Capital One Arena in NBA action. Final score: Raptors 117 – Wizards 138. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Raptors a 76% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Wizards are 2-10 at home and the Raptors are 10-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Wizards and 4-6 for the Raptors (current streaks: Wizards L2, Raptors W1).
The analysis Model
The Raptors start with a clear edge. The model projects Wizards 111 – 120 Raptors, a margin of about 9.0 points in favor of the Raptors and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-11.2 vs +0.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Raptors' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.6 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
TORWSH
Top performers
Raptors
Brandon IngramF · #729pts / game
Scottie BarnesF · #47assists
Sandro MamukelashviliF · #5411reboundsWizards
Kyshawn GeorgeF · #1823pts / game
CJ McCollumG · #34assists
Bilal CoulibalyG · #08reboundsRecent form
TORWSHHead-to-head
TOR lead 2-1 this season.
WSH
Team comparison
| TOR | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-13 | Record | 5-23 |
| 112.7 | Points scored / game | 111.2 |
| 112.6 | Points allowed / game | 124.4 |
| +0.1 | Adjusted margin / game | -11.2 |
| W1 | Current streak | L2 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 games | 3-7 |
| 10-6 road | Home / road record | 2-10 home |
| 30-52 (-4.3) | Last season | 18-64 (-12.4) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Raptors
Injury report Wizards
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.