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Wizards vs Raptors prediction NBA · Friday, November 21

FinalScotiabank Arena · MNMT, NBA League Pass, Sportsnet
11% win WSHwin TOR 89%
FavoriteTOR
Projected margin15.3
Projected total233
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Toronto Raptors (10-5) host the Washington Wizards (1-13) on Friday, November 21 at 7:30 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena in NBA action. Final score: Wizards 110 – Raptors 140. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Raptors a 89% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Raptors are 3-2 at home and the Wizards are 1-7 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 9-1 for the Raptors and 0-10 for the Wizards (current streaks: Raptors W5, Wizards L12).

The analysis Model

The Raptors start with a clear edge. The model projects Raptors 124 – 109 Wizards, a margin of about 15.3 points in favor of the Raptors and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (+0.7 vs -12.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Raptors' offense (115.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Raptors' defense allows clearly fewer points (115.0 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Raptors
Team strength (adjusted point differential)TOR +0.7 / WSH -12.3 per game
+13.0
Home-court advantageRaptors at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Raptors
+15.3

Scenarios

Raptors win by 10+
67%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
15%
Wizards win by 10+
2%

Stat comparison Current season

WSHTOR
110.5
Points scored / game
115.9
125.0
Points allowed / game
115.0
48.0 %
Field goal %
44.2 %
28.5 %
3-point %
30.4 %
31.6
3-pointers attempted / game
34.5
83.1 %
Free throw %
79.0 %
40.0
Rebounds / game
45.8
25.8
Assists / game
27.3
7.4
Steals / game
14.3
5.6
Blocks / game
5.5
13.6
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

Wizards
CJ McCollumG · #320pts / game
Justin ChampagnieF · #94assists
CJ McCollumG · #33rebounds
Raptors
Brandon IngramF · #724pts / game
Jamal SheadG · #2310assists
Jakob PoeltlC · #199rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
WSH
No games played yet.
TOR
No games played yet.

Team comparison

WSHTOR
1-13Record10-5
110.5Points scored / game115.9
125.0Points allowed / game115.0
-12.3Adjusted margin / game+0.7
L12Current streakW5
0-10Last 10 games9-1
1-7 roadHome / road record3-2 home
18-64 (-12.4)Last season30-52 (-4.3)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Washington Wizards Injury report Wizards

No injuries reported.

Toronto Raptors Injury report Raptors

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.