Raptors vs Wizards prediction NBA · Saturday, February 28
At a glance
The Washington Wizards (16-42) host the Toronto Raptors (34-25) on Saturday, February 28 at 7:00 PM ET at Capital One Arena in NBA action. Final score: Raptors 134 – Wizards 125. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Raptors a 74% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Wizards are 11-19 at home and the Raptors are 18-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Wizards and 5-5 for the Raptors (current streaks: Wizards L3, Raptors L2).
The analysis Model
The Raptors start with a clear edge. The model projects Wizards 111 – 119 Raptors, a margin of about 7.9 points in favor of the Raptors and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-9.5 vs +0.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Raptors' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.4 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
TORWSH
Top performers
Raptors
Immanuel QuickleyG · #527pts / gameImmanuel QuickleyG · #511assists
Jakob PoeltlC · #1910reboundsWizards
Will RileyG · #2719pts / game
Bub CarringtonG · #75assists
Bilal CoulibalyG · #05reboundsRecent form
TORWSHHead-to-head
TOR lead 2-1 this season.
WSH
Team comparison
| TOR | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 34-25 | Record | 16-42 |
| 113.2 | Points scored / game | 111.3 |
| 112.4 | Points allowed / game | 122.4 |
| +0.7 | Adjusted margin / game | -9.5 |
| L2 | Current streak | L3 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 3-7 |
| 18-10 road | Home / road record | 11-19 home |
| 30-52 (-4.3) | Last season | 18-64 (-12.4) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Raptors
Injury report Wizards
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.