Cavaliers vs Bulls prediction NBA · Thursday, October 9
At a glance
The Chicago Bulls host the Cleveland Cavaliers on Thursday, October 9 at 8:00 PM ET at United Center in NBA action. Final score: Cavaliers 112 – Bulls 119. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 72% chance to win: prediction missed.
The analysis Model
The Cavaliers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Bulls 114 – 121 Cavaliers, a margin of about 7.1 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 236 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (-1.3 vs +8.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Cavaliers' offense (121.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Cavaliers' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.4 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
CLECHI
Top performers
Cavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4522pts / gameDonovan MitchellG · #454assists
Jarrett AllenC · #319reboundsBulls
Ayo DosunmuG · #1316pts / game
Tre JonesG · #307assists
Zach CollinsF · #128reboundsRecent form
CLECHIHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
CHI
Team comparison
| CLE | CHI | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | Record | 2-0 |
| 121.9 | Points scored / game | 117.8 |
| 112.4 | Points allowed / game | 119.4 |
| +8.1 | Adjusted margin / game | -1.3 |
| – | Current streak | – |
| – | Last 10 games | – |
| – | Home / road record | – |
| 64-18 (+9.5) | Last season | 39-43 (-1.6) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Cavaliers
Injury report Bulls
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.