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Cavaliers vs Bulls prediction NBA · Wednesday, December 17

FinalUnited Center · CHSN, FanDuel SN OH, NBA League Pass
66% win CLEwin CHI 34%
FavoriteCLE
Projected margin5.2
Projected total237
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Chicago Bulls (10-15) host the Cleveland Cavaliers (15-12) on Wednesday, December 17 at 8:00 PM ET at United Center in NBA action. Final score: Cavaliers 111 – Bulls 127. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 66% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Bulls are 6-6 at home and the Cavaliers are 6-5 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Bulls and 4-6 for the Cavaliers (current streaks: Bulls L1, Cavaliers L1).

The analysis Model

The Cavaliers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Bulls 116 – 121 Cavaliers, a margin of about 5.2 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 237 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (-3.4 vs +4.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Cavaliers' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.8 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bulls
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHI -3.4 / CLE +4.1 per game
-7.5
Home-court advantageBulls at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Bulls
-5.2

Scenarios

Bulls win by 10+
11%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Cavaliers win by 10+
35%

Stat comparison Current season

CLECHI
119.7
Points scored / game
117.4
114.8
Points allowed / game
121.4
46.8 %
Field goal %
42.1 %
36.7 %
3-point %
27.6 %
37.5
3-pointers attempted / game
42.0
79.3 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
47.0
Rebounds / game
44.8
26.3
Assists / game
24.4
8.8
Steals / game
9.0
7.5
Blocks / game
4.8
17.3
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Cavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4532pts / game
Darius GarlandG · #106assists
Lonzo BallG · #27rebounds
Bulls
Coby WhiteG · #325pts / game
Josh GiddeyG · #311assists
Josh GiddeyG · #311rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CLE
No games played yet.
CHI
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CLECHI
15-12Record10-15
119.7Points scored / game117.4
114.8Points allowed / game121.4
+4.1Adjusted margin / game-3.4
L1Current streakL1
4-6Last 10 games2-8
6-5 roadHome / road record6-6 home
64-18 (+9.5)Last season39-43 (-1.6)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.