Cavaliers vs Bulls prediction NBA · Thursday, March 19
At a glance
The Chicago Bulls (28-41) host the Cleveland Cavaliers (42-27) on Thursday, March 19 at 8:00 PM ET at United Center in NBA action. Final score: Cavaliers 115 – Bulls 110. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 71% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Bulls are 17-19 at home and the Cavaliers are 20-14 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Bulls and 5-5 for the Cavaliers (current streaks: Bulls L1, Cavaliers W1).
The analysis Model
The Cavaliers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Bulls 113 – 120 Cavaliers, a margin of about 7.0 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Bulls played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-3.4 vs +4.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Cavaliers' offense (119.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Cavaliers' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
CLECHI
Top performers
Cavaliers
James HardenG · #136pts / gameJames HardenG · #19assists
Evan MobleyC · #414reboundsBulls
Tre JonesG · #3020pts / game
Josh GiddeyG · #319assists
Guerschon YabuseleF · #2811reboundsRecent form
CLECHIHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
CHI
Team comparison
| CLE | CHI | |
|---|---|---|
| 42-27 | Record | 28-41 |
| 119.6 | Points scored / game | 116.2 |
| 114.5 | Points allowed / game | 120.2 |
| +4.3 | Adjusted margin / game | -3.4 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 4-6 |
| 20-14 road | Home / road record | 17-19 home |
| 64-18 (+9.5) | Last season | 39-43 (-1.6) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Cavaliers
Injury report Bulls
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.