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Bulls vs Cavaliers prediction NBA · Friday, December 19

FinalRocket Arena · CHSN, NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN OH
24% win CHIwin CLE 76%
FavoriteCLE
Projected margin8.9
Projected total237
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Cleveland Cavaliers (15-13) host the Chicago Bulls (11-15) on Friday, December 19 at 7:30 PM ET at Rocket Arena in NBA action. Final score: Bulls 136 – Cavaliers 125. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 76% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Cavaliers are 9-7 at home and the Bulls are 4-9 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Cavaliers and 2-8 for the Bulls (current streaks: Cavaliers L2, Bulls W1).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Cavaliers dominate this matchup. The model projects Cavaliers 123 – 114 Bulls, a margin of about 8.9 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 237 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (+3.7 vs -2.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Cavaliers' defense allows clearly fewer points (115.1 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Cavaliers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CLE +3.7 / CHI -2.9 per game
+6.6
Home-court advantageCavaliers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Cavaliers
+8.9

Scenarios

Cavaliers win by 10+
47%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
24%
Bulls win by 10+
7%

Stat comparison Current season

CHICLE
117.7
Points scored / game
119.5
121.1
Points allowed / game
115.1
42.1 %
Field goal %
46.8 %
27.6 %
3-point %
36.7 %
42.0
3-pointers attempted / game
37.5
78.6 %
Free throw %
79.3 %
44.8
Rebounds / game
47.0
24.4
Assists / game
26.3
9.0
Steals / game
8.8
4.8
Blocks / game
7.5
17.8
Turnovers / game
17.3

Top performers

Bulls
Nikola VucevicC · #924pts / game
Coby WhiteG · #39assists
Nikola VucevicC · #915rebounds
Cavaliers
Darius GarlandG · #1035pts / game
Darius GarlandG · #108assists
Jarrett AllenC · #3112rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHI
No games played yet.
CLE
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CHICLE
11-15Record15-13
117.7Points scored / game119.5
121.1Points allowed / game115.1
-2.9Adjusted margin / game+3.7
W1Current streakL2
2-8Last 10 games3-7
4-9 roadHome / road record9-7 home
39-43 (-1.6)Last season64-18 (+9.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.