Lakers vs Warriors prediction NBA · Sunday, October 5
At a glance
The Golden State Warriors host the Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday, October 5 at 8:30 PM ET at Chase Center in NBA action. Final score: Lakers 103 – Warriors 111. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Warriors a 63% chance to win: prediction correct.
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Warriors, but the Lakers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Warriors 114 – 110 Lakers, a margin of about 4.1 points in favor of the Warriors and a total around 225 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The Lakers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
LALGS
Top performers
Lakers
Gabe VincentG · #416pts / gameGabe VincentG · #45assists
Jarred VanderbiltF · #27reboundsWarriors
Moses MoodyG · #419pts / game
Draymond GreenF · #235assists
Jonathan KumingaF · #246reboundsRecent form
LALGSHead-to-head
LAL lead 3-1 this season.
GS
Team comparison
| LAL | GS | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | Record | 1-0 |
| 113.4 | Points scored / game | 113.8 |
| 112.2 | Points allowed / game | 110.5 |
| +1.0 | Adjusted margin / game | +2.8 |
| – | Current streak | – |
| – | Last 10 games | – |
| – | Home / road record | – |
| 50-32 (+1.2) | Last season | 48-34 (+3.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Lakers
Injury report Warriors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.