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Lakers vs Warriors prediction NBA · Thursday, April 9

FinalChase Center · Prime Video
45% win LALwin GS 55%
FavoriteGS
Projected margin1.6
Projected total230
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Golden State Warriors (37-42) host the Los Angeles Lakers (50-29) on Thursday, April 9 at 10:00 PM ET at Chase Center in NBA action. Final score: Lakers 119 – Warriors 103. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Warriors a 55% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Warriors are 22-18 at home and the Lakers are 24-16 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Warriors and 6-4 for the Lakers (current streaks: Warriors W1, Lakers L3).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Warriors 116 – 114 Lakers, a margin of about 1.6 points in favor of the Warriors and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Lakers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Warriors
Team strength (adjusted point differential)GS +0.2 / LAL +0.8 per game
-0.7
Home-court advantageWarriors at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Warriors
+1.6

Scenarios

Warriors win by 10+
25%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Lakers win by 10+
18%

Stat comparison Current season

LALGS
115.9
Points scored / game
114.6
114.9
Points allowed / game
114.4
52.9 %
Field goal %
45.0 %
39.2 %
3-point %
36.9 %
36.2
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
79.1 %
Free throw %
82.2 %
38.0
Rebounds / game
43.8
24.0
Assists / game
25.6
10.8
Steals / game
9.6
5.8
Blocks / game
3.8
16.6
Turnovers / game
16.8

Top performers

Lakers
LeBron JamesF · #2326pts / game
LeBron JamesF · #2311assists
LeBron JamesF · #238rebounds
Warriors
Nate WilliamsG · #1917pts / game
Pat SpencerG · #616assists
Charles BasseyC · #2813rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
LAL
No games played yet.
GS
No games played yet.

Team comparison

LALGS
50-29Record37-42
115.9Points scored / game114.6
114.9Points allowed / game114.4
+0.8Adjusted margin / game+0.2
L3Current streakW1
6-4Last 10 games4-6
24-16 roadHome / road record22-18 home
50-32 (+1.2)Last season48-34 (+3.3)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Los Angeles Lakers Injury report Lakers

No injuries reported.

Golden State Warriors Injury report Warriors

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.