Lakers vs Warriors prediction NBA · Thursday, April 9
At a glance
The Golden State Warriors (37-42) host the Los Angeles Lakers (50-29) on Thursday, April 9 at 10:00 PM ET at Chase Center in NBA action. Final score: Lakers 119 – Warriors 103. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Warriors a 55% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Warriors are 22-18 at home and the Lakers are 24-16 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Warriors and 6-4 for the Lakers (current streaks: Warriors W1, Lakers L3).
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Warriors 116 – 114 Lakers, a margin of about 1.6 points in favor of the Warriors and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Lakers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
LALGS
Top performers
Lakers
LeBron JamesF · #2326pts / game
LeBron JamesF · #2311assists
LeBron JamesF · #238rebounds
Warriors
Nate WilliamsG · #1917pts / game
Pat SpencerG · #616assists
Charles BasseyC · #2813reboundsRecent form
LAL
GSHead-to-head
LAL lead 3-1 this season.
Team comparison
| LAL | GS | |
|---|---|---|
| 50-29 | Record | 37-42 |
| 115.9 | Points scored / game | 114.6 |
| 114.9 | Points allowed / game | 114.4 |
| +0.8 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.2 |
| L3 | Current streak | W1 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 4-6 |
| 24-16 road | Home / road record | 22-18 home |
| 50-32 (+1.2) | Last season | 48-34 (+3.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Lakers
Injury report Warriors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.
GS