Lakers vs Warriors prediction NBA · Saturday, February 28
At a glance
The Golden State Warriors (31-28) host the Los Angeles Lakers (34-24) on Saturday, February 28 at 8:30 PM ET at Chase Center in NBA action. Final score: Lakers 129 – Warriors 101. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Warriors a 63% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Warriors are 19-11 at home and the Lakers are 18-12 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Warriors and 5-5 for the Lakers (current streaks: Warriors W1, Lakers L3).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Warriors, but the Lakers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Warriors 117 – 113 Lakers, a margin of about 4.3 points in favor of the Warriors and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Lakers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
LALGS
Top performers
Lakers
Luka DoncicG · #7726pts / game
LeBron JamesF · #239assists
Deandre AytonC · #810reboundsWarriors
Gui SantosF · #1514pts / game
Brandin PodziemskiG · #26assistsBrandin PodziemskiG · #27reboundsRecent form
LALGSHead-to-head
LAL lead 3-1 this season.
GS
Team comparison
| LAL | GS | |
|---|---|---|
| 34-24 | Record | 31-28 |
| 115.1 | Points scored / game | 115.5 |
| 115.3 | Points allowed / game | 113.3 |
| -0.1 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.9 |
| L3 | Current streak | W1 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 4-6 |
| 18-12 road | Home / road record | 19-11 home |
| 50-32 (+1.2) | Last season | 48-34 (+3.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Lakers
Injury report Warriors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.