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Warriors vs Lakers prediction NBA · Saturday, February 7

Finalcrypto.com Arena · ABC
48% win GSwin LAL 52%
FavoriteLAL
Projected margin0.5
Projected total230
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Los Angeles Lakers (31-19) host the Golden State Warriors (28-24) on Saturday, February 7 at 8:30 PM ET at crypto.com Arena in NBA action. Final score: Warriors 99 – Lakers 105. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Lakers a 52% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Lakers are 13-8 at home and the Warriors are 11-15 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Lakers and 5-5 for the Warriors (current streaks: Lakers W2, Warriors W1).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Lakers 116 – 115 Warriors, a margin of about 0.5 points in favor of the Lakers and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Warriors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Lakers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAL +0.3 / GS +2.1 per game
-1.8
Home-court advantageLakers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Lakers
+0.5

Scenarios

Lakers win by 10+
22%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Warriors win by 10+
20%

Stat comparison Current season

GSLAL
115.5
Points scored / game
115.8
113.0
Points allowed / game
115.4
45.0 %
Field goal %
52.9 %
36.9 %
3-point %
39.2 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
36.2
82.2 %
Free throw %
79.1 %
43.8
Rebounds / game
38.0
25.6
Assists / game
24.0
9.6
Steals / game
10.8
3.8
Blocks / game
5.8
16.8
Turnovers / game
16.6

Top performers

Warriors
Moses MoodyG · #425pts / game
Pat SpencerG · #617assists
Gui SantosF · #158rebounds
Lakers
LeBron JamesF · #2320pts / game
LeBron JamesF · #2310assists
Jarred VanderbiltF · #28rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
GS
No games played yet.
LAL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

GSLAL
28-24Record31-19
115.5Points scored / game115.8
113.0Points allowed / game115.4
+2.1Adjusted margin / game+0.3
W1Current streakW2
5-5Last 10 games7-3
11-15 roadHome / road record13-8 home
48-34 (+3.3)Last season50-32 (+1.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Golden State Warriors Injury report Warriors

No injuries reported.

Los Angeles Lakers Injury report Lakers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.