Knicks vs 76ers prediction NBA · Saturday, October 4
At a glance
The Philadelphia 76ers host the New York Knicks on Saturday, October 4 at 11:00 AM ET at Etihad Arena in NBA action. Final score: Knicks 113 – 76ers 104. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 70% chance to win: prediction correct.
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Knicks, but the 76ers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects 76ers 110 – 116 Knicks, a margin of about 6.5 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (-5.3 vs +3.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Knicks' offense (115.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.7 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
NYPHI
Top performers
Knicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1114pts / game
Tosan EvbuomwanF · #203assists
Mitchell RobinsonC · #48rebounds76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #016pts / game
Kennedy ChandlerG · #26assists
Andre DrummondC · #011reboundsRecent form
NYPHIHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
PHI
Team comparison
| NY | PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | Record | 0-2 |
| 115.8 | Points scored / game | 109.6 |
| 111.7 | Points allowed / game | 115.8 |
| +3.5 | Adjusted margin / game | -5.3 |
| – | Current streak | – |
| – | Last 10 games | – |
| – | Home / road record | – |
| 51-31 (+4.1) | Last season | 24-58 (-6.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Knicks
Injury report 76ers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.