Grizzlies vs Rockets prediction NBA · Sunday, April 12
At a glance
The Houston Rockets (51-30) host the Memphis Grizzlies (25-56) on Sunday, April 12 at 8:30 PM ET at Toyota Center (Houston) in NBA action. Final score: Grizzlies 101 – Rockets 132. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 79% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Rockets are 29-11 at home and the Grizzlies are 11-29 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Rockets and 1-9 for the Grizzlies (current streaks: Rockets L1, Grizzlies L7).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Rockets dominate this matchup. The model projects Rockets 120 – 110 Grizzlies, a margin of about 10.1 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+4.1 vs -3.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Grizzlies need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.1 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MEMHOU
Top performers
Grizzlies
Dariq WhiteheadF · #026pts / game
Jahmai MashackG · #2111assists
Rayan RupertG · #1212reboundsRockets
Clint CapelaC · #3023pts / game
JD DavisonG · #207assistsClint CapelaC · #3013reboundsRecent form
MEMHOUHead-to-head
HOU lead 4-0 this season.
HOU
Team comparison
| MEM | HOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-56 | Record | 51-30 |
| 115.7 | Points scored / game | 114.9 |
| 120.1 | Points allowed / game | 110.1 |
| -3.7 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.1 |
| L7 | Current streak | L1 |
| 1-9 | Last 10 games | 8-2 |
| 11-29 road | Home / road record | 29-11 home |
| 48-34 (+4.9) | Last season | 52-30 (+4.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Grizzlies
Injury report Rockets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.