Grizzlies vs Rockets prediction NBA · Monday, January 26
At a glance
The Houston Rockets (27-16) host the Memphis Grizzlies (18-25) on Monday, January 26 at 8:00 PM ET at Toyota Center (Houston) in NBA action. Final score: Grizzlies 99 – Rockets 108. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 76% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Rockets are 15-3 at home and the Grizzlies are 8-12 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Rockets and 3-7 for the Grizzlies (current streaks: Rockets W1, Grizzlies L2).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Rockets dominate this matchup. The model projects Rockets 119 – 110 Grizzlies, a margin of about 8.6 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Grizzlies played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+4.9 vs +0.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Grizzlies need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.6 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MEMHOU
Top performers
Grizzlies
Santi AldamaF · #3417pts / game
Cam SpencerG · #2413assists
Vince Williams Jr.G · #08reboundsRockets
Alperen SengunC · #2833pts / game
Amen ThompsonG · #114assistsAlperen SengunC · #289reboundsRecent form
MEMHOUHead-to-head
HOU lead 4-0 this season.
HOU
Team comparison
| MEM | HOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-25 | Record | 27-16 |
| 116.9 | Points scored / game | 116.4 |
| 116.7 | Points allowed / game | 110.6 |
| +0.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.9 |
| L2 | Current streak | W1 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 8-12 road | Home / road record | 15-3 home |
| 48-34 (+4.9) | Last season | 52-30 (+4.5) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Grizzlies
Injury report Rockets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.