Rockets vs Grizzlies prediction NBA · Wednesday, November 5
At a glance
The Memphis Grizzlies (3-5) host the Houston Rockets (4-2) on Wednesday, November 5 at 8:00 PM ET at FedExForum in NBA action. Final score: Rockets 124 – Grizzlies 109. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 60% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Grizzlies are 2-3 at home and the Rockets are 2-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-5 for the Grizzlies and 4-2 for the Rockets (current streaks: Grizzlies L3, Rockets W4).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Rockets, but the Grizzlies have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Grizzlies 115 – 118 Rockets, a margin of about 3.0 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+0.8 vs +6.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Grizzlies need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.6 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
HOUMEM
Top performers
Rockets
Amen ThompsonG · #128pts / gameAmen ThompsonG · #17assists
Alperen SengunC · #2816reboundsGrizzlies
Cam SpencerG · #2419pts / game
Ja MorantG · #18assists
Cedric CowardF · #239reboundsRecent form
HOUMEMHead-to-head
HOU lead 4-0 this season.
HOU
Team comparison
| HOU | MEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-2 | Record | 3-5 |
| 117.8 | Points scored / game | 119.2 |
| 110.6 | Points allowed / game | 118.3 |
| +6.1 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.8 |
| W4 | Current streak | L3 |
| 4-2 | Last 10 games | 3-5 |
| 2-1 road | Home / road record | 2-3 home |
| 52-30 (+4.5) | Last season | 48-34 (+4.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Rockets
Injury report Grizzlies
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.