Rockets vs Grizzlies prediction NBA · Friday, March 27
At a glance
The Memphis Grizzlies (24-48) host the Houston Rockets (43-29) on Friday, March 27 at 8:00 PM ET at FedExForum in NBA action. Final score: Rockets 119 – Grizzlies 109. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 61% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Grizzlies are 13-22 at home and the Rockets are 18-19 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 1-9 for the Grizzlies and 4-6 for the Rockets (current streaks: Grizzlies L4, Rockets L2).
The analysis Model
The Rockets are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Grizzlies 113 – 116 Rockets, a margin of about 3.4 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-2.3 vs +3.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Grizzlies need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.2 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
HOUMEM
Top performers
Rockets
Kevin DurantF · #725pts / gameKevin DurantF · #710assists
Jabari Smith Jr.F · #1016reboundsGrizzlies
Olivier-Maxence ProsperF · #1831pts / game
Cam SpencerG · #2410assistsOlivier-Maxence ProsperF · #187reboundsRecent form
HOUMEMHead-to-head
HOU lead 4-0 this season.
HOU
Team comparison
| HOU | MEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 43-29 | Record | 24-48 |
| 114.1 | Points scored / game | 116.0 |
| 110.2 | Points allowed / game | 118.8 |
| +3.3 | Adjusted margin / game | -2.3 |
| L2 | Current streak | L4 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 games | 1-9 |
| 18-19 road | Home / road record | 13-22 home |
| 52-30 (+4.5) | Last season | 48-34 (+4.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Rockets
Injury report Grizzlies
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.