Hawks vs Heat prediction NBA · Sunday, April 12
At a glance
The Miami Heat (42-39) host the Atlanta Hawks (46-35) on Sunday, April 12 at 6:00 PM ET at Kaseya Center in NBA action. Final score: Hawks 117 – Heat 143. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Heat a 56% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Heat are 25-15 at home and the Hawks are 22-18 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Heat and 7-3 for the Hawks (current streaks: Heat W1, Hawks W1).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Heat 119 – 117 Hawks, a margin of about 1.9 points in favor of the Heat and a total around 236 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The Hawks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
ATLMIA
Top performers
Hawks
Buddy HieldG · #731pts / game
Keshon GilbertG · #009assists
Asa NewellF · #1411reboundsHeat
Jaime Jaquez Jr.F · #2426pts / game
Tyler HerroG · #118assists
Bam AdebayoC · #1310reboundsRecent form
ATLMIAHead-to-head
MIA lead 3-1 this season.
MIA
Team comparison
| ATL | MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| 46-35 | Record | 42-39 |
| 118.4 | Points scored / game | 119.3 |
| 116.2 | Points allowed / game | 117.5 |
| +1.9 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.6 |
| W1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 4-6 |
| 22-18 road | Home / road record | 25-15 home |
| 40-42 (-1.1) | Last season | 37-45 (+0.6) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Hawks
Injury report Heat
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.