Hawks vs Heat prediction NBA · Tuesday, February 3
At a glance
The Miami Heat (27-24) host the Atlanta Hawks (24-27) on Tuesday, February 3 at 7:30 PM ET at Kaseya Center in NBA action. Final score: Hawks 127 – Heat 115. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Heat a 65% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Heat are 16-9 at home and the Hawks are 15-13 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Heat and 4-6 for the Hawks (current streaks: Heat W1, Hawks L2).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Heat, but the Hawks have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Heat 120 – 115 Hawks, a margin of about 4.8 points in favor of the Heat and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The Hawks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
ATLMIA
Top performers
Hawks
Jalen JohnsonF · #129pts / gameJalen JohnsonF · #111assistsJalen JohnsonF · #111reboundsHeat
Jaime Jaquez Jr.F · #2421pts / game
Davion MitchellG · #210assists
Bam AdebayoC · #1314reboundsRecent form
ATLMIAHead-to-head
MIA lead 3-1 this season.
MIA
Team comparison
| ATL | MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-27 | Record | 27-24 |
| 117.4 | Points scored / game | 118.2 |
| 118.5 | Points allowed / game | 116.4 |
| -0.9 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.6 |
| L2 | Current streak | W1 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 15-13 road | Home / road record | 16-9 home |
| 40-42 (-1.1) | Last season | 37-45 (+0.6) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Hawks
Injury report Heat
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.