Heat vs Hawks prediction NBA · Friday, December 26
At a glance
The Atlanta Hawks (15-16) host the Miami Heat (15-15) on Friday, December 26 at 7:00 PM ET at State Farm Arena in NBA action. Final score: Heat 126 – Hawks 111. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hawks a 51% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Hawks are 5-9 at home and the Heat are 5-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Hawks and 2-8 for the Heat (current streaks: Hawks L4, Heat L3).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Hawks 118 – 117 Heat, a margin of about 0.4 points in favor of the Hawks and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The Heat need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Heat's defense allows clearly fewer points (115.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MIAATL
Top performers
Heat
Norman PowellG · #2425pts / game
Davion MitchellG · #27assists
Kel'el WareC · #913reboundsHawks
Trae YoungG · #330pts / game
Jalen JohnsonF · #110assistsJalen JohnsonF · #19reboundsRecent form
MIAATLHead-to-head
MIA lead 3-1 this season.
MIA
Team comparison
| MIA | ATL | |
|---|---|---|
| 15-15 | Record | 15-16 |
| 116.8 | Points scored / game | 118.6 |
| 115.5 | Points allowed / game | 119.5 |
| +1.1 | Adjusted margin / game | -0.8 |
| L3 | Current streak | L4 |
| 2-8 | Last 10 games | 2-8 |
| 5-10 road | Home / road record | 5-9 home |
| 37-45 (+0.6) | Last season | 40-42 (-1.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Heat
Injury report Hawks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.