Heat vs Hawks prediction NBA · Friday, February 20
At a glance
The Atlanta Hawks (27-30) host the Miami Heat (29-27) on Friday, February 20 at 7:30 PM ET at State Farm Arena in NBA action. Final score: Heat 128 – Hawks 97. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Heat a 56% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Hawks are 10-15 at home and the Heat are 13-16 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Hawks and 5-5 for the Heat (current streaks: Hawks W1, Heat W1).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Hawks 116 – 118 Heat, a margin of about 2.0 points in favor of the Heat and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Hawks played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The Hawks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MIAATL
Top performers
Heat
Tyler HerroG · #1124pts / game
Davion MitchellG · #27assists
Kel'el WareC · #912reboundsHawks
Onyeka OkongwuF · #1722pts / game
Jalen JohnsonF · #111assistsJalen JohnsonF · #116reboundsRecent form
MIAATLHead-to-head
MIA lead 3-1 this season.
MIA
Team comparison
| MIA | ATL | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-27 | Record | 27-30 |
| 118.0 | Points scored / game | 117.5 |
| 115.9 | Points allowed / game | 118.6 |
| +1.8 | Adjusted margin / game | -1.0 |
| W1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 13-16 road | Home / road record | 10-15 home |
| 37-45 (+0.6) | Last season | 40-42 (-1.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Heat
Injury report Hawks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.