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Magic vs Celtics prediction NBA · Sunday, April 12

FinalTD Garden · ESPN, FanDuel SN FL, NBC Sports BO
Orlando Magic
Orlando Magic
45-37 · away
Final score
108-113
Projected: 108-117
Boston Celtics
Boston Celtics
56-26 · home
25% win ORLwin BOS 75%
FavoriteBOS
Projected margin8.5
Projected total225
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Boston Celtics (55-26) host the Orlando Magic (45-36) on Sunday, April 12 at 6:00 PM ET at TD Garden in NBA action. Final score: Magic 108 – Celtics 113. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 75% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Celtics are 29-11 at home and the Magic are 19-20 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Celtics and 7-3 for the Magic (current streaks: Celtics W1, Magic W5).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Celtics dominate this matchup. The model projects Celtics 117 – 108 Magic, a margin of about 8.5 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 225 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (+6.7 vs +0.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Magic need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (107.1 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Celtics
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BOS +6.7 / ORL +0.5 per game
+6.2
Home-court advantageCeltics at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Celtics
+8.5

Scenarios

Celtics win by 10+
45%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
25%
Magic win by 10+
7%

Stat comparison Current season

ORLBOS
114.5
Points scored / game
115.1
113.9
Points allowed / game
107.1
44.2 %
Field goal %
46.5 %
31.4 %
3-point %
38.6 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
41.5
75.0 %
Free throw %
76.0 %
41.3
Rebounds / game
44.3
26.0
Assists / game
27.8
7.8
Steals / game
9.0
4.5
Blocks / game
3.8
17.8
Turnovers / game
15.5

Top performers

Magic
Paolo BancheroF · #523pts / game
Paolo BancheroF · #511assists
Paolo BancheroF · #510rebounds
Celtics
Baylor ScheiermanG · #5530pts / game
Baylor ScheiermanG · #557assists
Luka GarzaC · #5212rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
ORL
No games played yet.
BOS
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

BOS lead 3-1 this season.

Nov 7BOS110 - 123ORLNov 9BOS111 - 107ORLNov 23ORL129 - 138BOSApr 12ORL108 - 113BOS

Team comparison

ORLBOS
45-36Record55-26
114.5Points scored / game115.1
113.9Points allowed / game107.1
+0.5Adjusted margin / game+6.7
W5Current streakW1
7-3Last 10 games8-2
19-20 roadHome / road record29-11 home
41-41 (-0.1)Last season61-21 (+9.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Boston Celtics Injury report Celtics

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.