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Magic vs Celtics prediction NBA · Sunday, November 23

FinalTD Garden · FanDuel SN FL, NBA League Pass, NBC Sports BO
Orlando Magic
Orlando Magic
10-8 · away
Final score
129-138
Projected: 107-114
Boston Celtics
Boston Celtics
9-8 · home
28% win ORLwin BOS 72%
FavoriteBOS
Projected margin7.4
Projected total221
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Boston Celtics (8-8) host the Orlando Magic (10-7) on Sunday, November 23 at 6:00 PM ET at TD Garden in NBA action. Final score: Magic 129 – Celtics 138. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 72% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Celtics are 4-4 at home and the Magic are 3-4 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Celtics and 7-3 for the Magic (current streaks: Celtics L1, Magic W3).

The analysis Model

The Celtics start with a clear edge. The model projects Celtics 114 – 107 Magic, a margin of about 7.4 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 221 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Magic played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Magic need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Celtics
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BOS +5.4 / ORL +2.0 per game
+3.5
Home-court advantageCeltics at home
+2.3
Back-to-backMagic played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Celtics
+7.4

Scenarios

Celtics win by 10+
42%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
26%
Magic win by 10+
8%

Stat comparison Current season

ORLBOS
112.6
Points scored / game
114.5
110.3
Points allowed / game
108.1
44.2 %
Field goal %
46.5 %
31.4 %
3-point %
38.6 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
41.5
75.0 %
Free throw %
76.0 %
41.3
Rebounds / game
44.3
26.0
Assists / game
27.8
7.8
Steals / game
9.0
4.5
Blocks / game
3.8
17.8
Turnovers / game
15.5

Top performers

Magic
Jett HowardG · #930pts / game
Tyus JonesG · #56assists
Franz WagnerF · #228rebounds
Celtics
Jaylen BrownG · #735pts / game
Jaylen BrownG · #78assists
Derrick WhiteG · #97rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
ORL
No games played yet.
BOS
No games played yet.

Team comparison

ORLBOS
10-7Record8-8
112.6Points scored / game114.5
110.3Points allowed / game108.1
+2.0Adjusted margin / game+5.4
W3Current streakL1
7-3Last 10 games5-5
3-4 roadHome / road record4-4 home
41-41 (-0.1)Last season61-21 (+9.1)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Boston Celtics Injury report Celtics

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.