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Celtics vs Magic prediction NBA · Friday, November 7

FinalKia Center · FanDuel SN FL, NBC Sports BO, NBA League Pass
Boston Celtics
Boston Celtics
4-6 · away
Final score
110-123
Projected: 113-109
Orlando Magic
Orlando Magic
4-5 · home
63% win BOSwin ORL 37%
FavoriteBOS
Projected margin4.1
Projected total222
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Orlando Magic (3-5) host the Boston Celtics (4-5) on Friday, November 7 at 7:00 PM ET at Kia Center in NBA action. Final score: Celtics 110 – Magic 123. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 63% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Magic are 1-2 at home and the Celtics are 2-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-5 for the Magic and 4-5 for the Celtics (current streaks: Magic L1, Celtics W1).

The analysis Model

The Celtics are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Magic 109 – 113 Celtics, a margin of about 4.1 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 222 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-0.5 vs +5.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Magic need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Celtics' offense (115.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Magic
Team strength (adjusted point differential)ORL -0.5 / BOS +5.9 per game
-6.4
Home-court advantageMagic at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Magic
-4.1

Scenarios

Magic win by 10+
13%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Celtics win by 10+
32%

Stat comparison Current season

BOSORL
115.0
Points scored / game
109.8
108.1
Points allowed / game
110.4
46.5 %
Field goal %
44.2 %
38.6 %
3-point %
31.4 %
41.5
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
76.0 %
Free throw %
75.0 %
44.3
Rebounds / game
41.3
27.8
Assists / game
26.0
9.0
Steals / game
7.8
3.8
Blocks / game
4.5
15.5
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Celtics
Jaylen BrownG · #732pts / game
Derrick WhiteG · #910assists
Jaylen BrownG · #79rebounds
Magic
Franz WagnerF · #2227pts / game
Desmond BaneG · #37assists
Paolo BancheroF · #59rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
BOS
No games played yet.
ORL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

BOSORL
4-5Record3-5
115.0Points scored / game109.8
108.1Points allowed / game110.4
+5.9Adjusted margin / game-0.5
W1Current streakL1
4-5Last 10 games3-5
2-2 roadHome / road record1-2 home
61-21 (+9.1)Last season41-41 (-0.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Boston Celtics Injury report Celtics

No injuries reported.

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.