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Celtics vs Magic prediction NBA · Sunday, November 9

FinalKia Center · NBC Sports BO, NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN FL
Boston Celtics
Boston Celtics
5-6 · away
Final score
111-107
Projected: 112-110
Orlando Magic
Orlando Magic
4-6 · home
59% win BOSwin ORL 41%
FavoriteBOS
Projected margin2.8
Projected total222
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Orlando Magic (4-5) host the Boston Celtics (4-6) on Sunday, November 9 at 6:00 PM ET at Kia Center in NBA action. Final score: Celtics 111 – Magic 107. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 59% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Magic are 2-2 at home and the Celtics are 2-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-5 for the Magic and 4-6 for the Celtics (current streaks: Magic W1, Celtics L1).

The analysis Model

The Celtics are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Magic 110 – 112 Celtics, a margin of about 2.8 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 222 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (+0.0 vs +5.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Magic need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Celtics' offense (114.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Magic
Team strength (adjusted point differential)ORL +0.0 / BOS +5.1 per game
-5.1
Home-court advantageMagic at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Magic
-2.8

Scenarios

Magic win by 10+
15%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Celtics win by 10+
28%

Stat comparison Current season

BOSORL
114.8
Points scored / game
110.4
108.8
Points allowed / game
110.4
46.5 %
Field goal %
44.2 %
38.6 %
3-point %
31.4 %
41.5
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
76.0 %
Free throw %
75.0 %
44.3
Rebounds / game
41.3
27.8
Assists / game
26.0
9.0
Steals / game
7.8
3.8
Blocks / game
4.5
15.5
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Celtics
Jaylen BrownG · #727pts / game
Payton PritchardG · #115assists
Luka GarzaC · #528rebounds
Magic
Paolo BancheroF · #528pts / game
Desmond BaneG · #36assists
Franz WagnerF · #229rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
BOS
No games played yet.
ORL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

BOSORL
4-6Record4-5
114.8Points scored / game110.4
108.8Points allowed / game110.4
+5.1Adjusted margin / game+0.0
L1Current streakW1
4-6Last 10 games4-5
2-3 roadHome / road record2-2 home
61-21 (+9.1)Last season41-41 (-0.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Boston Celtics Injury report Celtics

No injuries reported.

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.