Warriors vs Kings prediction NBA · Friday, April 10
At a glance
The Sacramento Kings (21-59) host the Golden State Warriors (37-43) on Friday, April 10 at 10:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center in NBA action. Final score: Warriors 118 – Kings 124. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Warriors a 61% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Kings are 14-26 at home and the Warriors are 15-24 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Kings and 4-6 for the Warriors (current streaks: Kings L2, Warriors L1).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Warriors, but the Kings have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Kings 113 – 116 Warriors, a margin of about 3.6 points in favor of the Warriors and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Warriors played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-7.5 vs +0.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Warriors' offense (114.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Warriors' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
GSSAC
Top performers
Warriors
Brandin PodziemskiG · #230pts / game
Draymond GreenF · #236assists
Kristaps PorzingisC · #77reboundsKings
Devin CarterG · #9929pts / game
Nique CliffordG · #106assistsDevin CarterG · #999reboundsRecent form
GSSACHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
GS
Team comparison
| GS | SAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 37-43 | Record | 21-59 |
| 114.5 | Points scored / game | 111.5 |
| 114.5 | Points allowed / game | 120.3 |
| +0.0 | Adjusted margin / game | -7.5 |
| L1 | Current streak | L2 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 games | 3-7 |
| 15-24 road | Home / road record | 14-26 home |
| 48-34 (+3.3) | Last season | 40-42 (+0.5) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Warriors
Injury report Kings
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.