Kings vs Warriors prediction NBA · Friday, January 9
At a glance
The Golden State Warriors (20-18) host the Sacramento Kings (8-29) on Friday, January 9 at 10:00 PM ET at Chase Center in NBA action. Final score: Kings 103 – Warriors 137. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Warriors a 82% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Warriors are 12-5 at home and the Kings are 3-16 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Warriors and 2-8 for the Kings (current streaks: Warriors W1, Kings L6).
The analysis Model
The Warriors start with a clear edge. The model projects Warriors 120 – 109 Kings, a margin of about 11.3 points in favor of the Warriors and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+1.5 vs -7.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Warriors' offense (114.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Warriors' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
SACGS
Top performers
Kings
DeMar DeRozanG · #1024pts / game
Russell WestbrookG · #187assists
Dylan CardwellC · #328reboundsWarriors
Stephen CurryG · #3027pts / gameStephen CurryG · #3010assists
Gary Payton IIG · #09reboundsRecent form
SACGSHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
GS
Team comparison
| SAC | GS | |
|---|---|---|
| 8-29 | Record | 20-18 |
| 111.4 | Points scored / game | 114.7 |
| 120.1 | Points allowed / game | 112.9 |
| -7.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.5 |
| L6 | Current streak | W1 |
| 2-8 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 3-16 road | Home / road record | 12-5 home |
| 40-42 (+0.5) | Last season | 48-34 (+3.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Kings
Injury report Warriors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.