Kings vs Warriors prediction NBA · Tuesday, April 7
At a glance
The Golden State Warriors (36-42) host the Sacramento Kings (21-58) on Tuesday, April 7 at 10:00 PM ET at Chase Center in NBA action. Final score: Kings 105 – Warriors 110. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Warriors a 79% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Warriors are 21-18 at home and the Kings are 7-32 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Warriors and 3-7 for the Kings (current streaks: Warriors L4, Kings L1).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Warriors dominate this matchup. The model projects Warriors 120 – 110 Kings, a margin of about 10.0 points in favor of the Warriors and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+0.1 vs -7.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Warriors' offense (114.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Warriors' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
SACGS
Top performers
Kings
Killian HayesG · #318pts / game
Devin CarterG · #995assists
Dylan CardwellC · #329reboundsWarriors
De'Anthony MeltonG · #821pts / game
Draymond GreenF · #237assists
Charles BasseyC · #2812reboundsRecent form
SACGSHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
GS
Team comparison
| SAC | GS | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-58 | Record | 36-42 |
| 111.6 | Points scored / game | 114.7 |
| 120.4 | Points allowed / game | 114.5 |
| -7.5 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.1 |
| L1 | Current streak | L4 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 3-7 |
| 7-32 road | Home / road record | 21-18 home |
| 40-42 (+0.5) | Last season | 48-34 (+3.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Kings
Injury report Warriors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.