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Warriors vs Kings prediction NBA · Wednesday, November 5

FinalGolden 1 Center · NBC Sports BA, NBA League Pass, NBC Sports CA
50% win GSwin SAC 50%
FavoriteGS
Projected margin0.0
Projected total229
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Sacramento Kings (2-5) host the Golden State Warriors (5-3) on Wednesday, November 5 at 10:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center in NBA action. Final score: Warriors 116 – Kings 121. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Warriors a 50% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Kings are 1-1 at home and the Warriors are 1-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-5 for the Kings and 5-3 for the Warriors (current streaks: Kings L1, Warriors W1).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Kings 114 – 115 Warriors, a margin of about 0.0 points in favor of the Warriors and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Warriors played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Warriors' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.1 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Kings
Team strength (adjusted point differential)SAC -1.2 / GS +2.7 per game
-3.9
Home-court advantageKings at home
+2.3
Back-to-backWarriors played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Kings
-0.0

Scenarios

Kings win by 10+
21%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Warriors win by 10+
21%

Stat comparison Current season

GSSAC
115.3
Points scored / game
115.9
112.1
Points allowed / game
117.4
45.0 %
Field goal %
44.5 %
36.9 %
3-point %
30.0 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
32.5
82.2 %
Free throw %
73.1 %
43.8
Rebounds / game
41.5
25.6
Assists / game
22.8
9.6
Steals / game
6.8
3.8
Blocks / game
2.5
16.8
Turnovers / game
14.3

Top performers

Warriors
Will RichardG · #330pts / game
Brandin PodziemskiG · #29assists
Jonathan KumingaF · #249rebounds
Kings
DeMar DeRozanG · #1025pts / game
Russell WestbrookG · #1810assists
Russell WestbrookG · #1816rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
GS
No games played yet.
SAC
No games played yet.

Team comparison

GSSAC
5-3Record2-5
115.3Points scored / game115.9
112.1Points allowed / game117.4
+2.7Adjusted margin / game-1.2
W1Current streakL1
5-3Last 10 games2-5
1-3 roadHome / road record1-1 home
48-34 (+3.3)Last season40-42 (+0.5)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

Golden State Warriors Injury report Warriors

No injuries reported.

Sacramento Kings Injury report Kings

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.