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Magic vs Bulls prediction NBA · Friday, April 10

FinalUnited Center · CHSN, FanDuel SN FL, NBA League Pass
Orlando Magic
Orlando Magic
45-36 · away
Final score
127-103
Projected: 117-114
Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
31-50 · home
60% win ORLwin CHI 40%
FavoriteORL
Projected margin3.3
Projected total231
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Chicago Bulls (31-49) host the Orlando Magic (44-36) on Friday, April 10 at 8:00 PM ET at United Center in NBA action. Final score: Magic 127 – Bulls 103. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Magic a 60% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Bulls are 18-22 at home and the Magic are 18-20 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Bulls and 6-4 for the Magic (current streaks: Bulls W2, Magic W4).

The analysis Model

The Magic are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Bulls 114 – 117 Magic, a margin of about 3.3 points in favor of the Magic and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Bulls played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Magic's defense allows clearly fewer points (114.0 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bulls
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHI -3.7 / ORL +0.3 per game
-4.0
Home-court advantageBulls at home
+2.3
Back-to-backBulls played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor Bulls
-3.3

Scenarios

Bulls win by 10+
14%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Magic win by 10+
30%

Stat comparison Current season

ORLCHI
114.4
Points scored / game
116.5
114.0
Points allowed / game
120.9
44.2 %
Field goal %
42.1 %
31.4 %
3-point %
27.6 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
42.0
75.0 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
41.3
Rebounds / game
44.8
26.0
Assists / game
24.4
7.8
Steals / game
9.0
4.5
Blocks / game
4.8
17.8
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Magic
Franz WagnerF · #2225pts / game
Paolo BancheroF · #57assists
Goga BitadzeC · #3511rebounds
Bulls
Tre JonesG · #3023pts / game
Lachlan OlbrichC · #475assists
Lachlan OlbrichC · #479rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
ORL
No games played yet.
CHI
No games played yet.

Team comparison

ORLCHI
44-36Record31-49
114.4Points scored / game116.5
114.0Points allowed / game120.9
+0.3Adjusted margin / game-3.7
W4Current streakW2
6-4Last 10 games3-7
18-20 roadHome / road record18-22 home
41-41 (-0.1)Last season39-43 (-1.6)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.