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Magic vs Bulls prediction NBA · Friday, January 2

FinalUnited Center · CHSN, FanDuel SN FL, NBA League Pass
Orlando Magic
Orlando Magic
19-16 · away
Final score
114-121
Projected: 117-116
Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
17-17 · home
54% win ORLwin CHI 46%
FavoriteORL
Projected margin1.3
Projected total233
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Chicago Bulls (16-17) host the Orlando Magic (19-15) on Friday, January 2 at 8:00 PM ET at United Center in NBA action. Final score: Magic 114 – Bulls 121. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Magic a 54% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Bulls are 9-8 at home and the Magic are 8-9 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Bulls and 5-5 for the Magic (current streaks: Bulls W1, Magic W1).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Bulls 116 – 117 Magic, a margin of about 1.3 points in favor of the Magic and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Bulls' offense (118.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Magic's defense allows clearly fewer points (112.5 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bulls
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHI -2.6 / ORL +1.0 per game
-3.6
Home-court advantageBulls at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Bulls
-1.3

Scenarios

Bulls win by 10+
18%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Magic win by 10+
24%

Stat comparison Current season

ORLCHI
113.7
Points scored / game
118.5
112.5
Points allowed / game
121.5
44.2 %
Field goal %
42.1 %
31.4 %
3-point %
27.6 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
42.0
75.0 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
41.3
Rebounds / game
44.8
26.0
Assists / game
24.4
7.8
Steals / game
9.0
4.5
Blocks / game
4.8
17.8
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Magic
Paolo BancheroF · #531pts / game
Anthony BlackG · #07assists
Wendell Carter Jr.C · #3410rebounds
Bulls
Matas BuzelisF · #1421pts / game
Matas BuzelisF · #147assists
Nikola VucevicC · #910rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
ORL
No games played yet.
CHI
No games played yet.

Team comparison

ORLCHI
19-15Record16-17
113.7Points scored / game118.5
112.5Points allowed / game121.5
+1.0Adjusted margin / game-2.6
W1Current streakW1
5-5Last 10 games7-3
8-9 roadHome / road record9-8 home
41-41 (-0.1)Last season39-43 (-1.6)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.