Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Bulls vs Magic prediction NBA · Saturday, October 25

FinalKia Center · CHSN, NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN FL
Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
2-0 · away
Final score
110-98
Projected: 111-113
Orlando Magic
Orlando Magic
1-2 · home
45% win CHIwin ORL 55%
FavoriteORL
Projected margin1.6
Projected total224
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Orlando Magic (1-1) host the Chicago Bulls (1-0) on Saturday, October 25 at 7:00 PM ET at Kia Center in NBA action. Final score: Bulls 110 – Magic 98. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Magic a 55% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Magic are 1-1 at home. Since the start of the season: 1-1 for the Magic and 1-0 for the Bulls (current streaks: Magic L1, Bulls W1).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Magic 113 – 111 Bulls, a margin of about 1.6 points in favor of the Magic and a total around 224 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Magic played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Bulls' offense (117.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Magic's defense allows clearly fewer points (107.0 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Magic
Team strength (adjusted point differential)ORL -0.1 / CHI -1.0 per game
+0.9
Home-court advantageMagic at home
+2.3
Back-to-backMagic played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor Magic
+1.6

Scenarios

Magic win by 10+
25%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Bulls win by 10+
18%

Stat comparison Current season

CHIORL
117.6
Points scored / game
106.9
118.7
Points allowed / game
107.0
42.1 %
Field goal %
44.2 %
27.6 %
3-point %
31.4 %
42.0
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
78.6 %
Free throw %
75.0 %
44.8
Rebounds / game
41.3
24.4
Assists / game
26.0
9.0
Steals / game
7.8
4.8
Blocks / game
4.5
17.8
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Bulls
Josh GiddeyG · #321pts / game
Tre JonesG · #308assists
Josh GiddeyG · #38rebounds
Magic
Paolo BancheroF · #524pts / game
Desmond BaneG · #33assists
Wendell Carter Jr.C · #3413rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHI
No games played yet.
ORL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CHIORL
1-0Record1-1
117.6Points scored / game106.9
118.7Points allowed / game107.0
-1.0Adjusted margin / game-0.1
W1Current streakL1
1-0Last 10 games1-1
0-0 roadHome / road record1-1 home
39-43 (-1.6)Last season41-41 (-0.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.