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Bulls vs Magic prediction NBA · Monday, December 1

FinalKia Center · Peacock, FanDuel SN FL
Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
9-11 · away
Final score
120-125
Projected: 113-120
Orlando Magic
Orlando Magic
13-8 · home
28% win CHIwin ORL 72%
FavoriteORL
Projected margin7.2
Projected total233
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Orlando Magic (12-8) host the Chicago Bulls (9-10) on Monday, December 1 at 7:30 PM ET at Kia Center in NBA action. Final score: Bulls 120 – Magic 125. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Magic a 72% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Magic are 7-3 at home and the Bulls are 3-8 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Magic and 3-7 for the Bulls (current streaks: Magic W2, Bulls L3).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Magic, but the Bulls have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Magic 120 – 113 Bulls, a margin of about 7.2 points in favor of the Magic and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (+2.7 vs -2.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Bulls' offense (119.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Magic's defense allows clearly fewer points (110.9 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Magic
Team strength (adjusted point differential)ORL +2.7 / CHI -2.1 per game
+4.9
Home-court advantageMagic at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Magic
+7.2

Scenarios

Magic win by 10+
41%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
27%
Bulls win by 10+
8%

Stat comparison Current season

CHIORL
119.1
Points scored / game
114.1
121.6
Points allowed / game
110.9
42.1 %
Field goal %
44.2 %
27.6 %
3-point %
31.4 %
42.0
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
78.6 %
Free throw %
75.0 %
44.8
Rebounds / game
41.3
24.4
Assists / game
26.0
9.0
Steals / game
7.8
4.8
Blocks / game
4.5
17.8
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Bulls
Josh GiddeyG · #322pts / game
Ayo DosunmuG · #137assists
Nikola VucevicC · #911rebounds
Magic
Desmond BaneG · #337pts / game
Tyus JonesG · #56assists
Anthony BlackG · #09rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHI
No games played yet.
ORL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CHIORL
9-10Record12-8
119.1Points scored / game114.1
121.6Points allowed / game110.9
-2.1Adjusted margin / game+2.7
L3Current streakW2
3-7Last 10 games8-2
3-8 roadHome / road record7-3 home
39-43 (-1.6)Last season41-41 (-0.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.