Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Cavaliers vs Hawks prediction NBA · Friday, April 10

FinalState Farm Arena · Prime Video
51% win CLEwin ATL 49%
FavoriteCLE
Projected margin0.2
Projected total235
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Atlanta Hawks (45-35) host the Cleveland Cavaliers (51-29) on Friday, April 10 at 7:00 PM ET at State Farm Arena in NBA action. Final score: Cavaliers 102 – Hawks 124. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 51% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Hawks are 23-17 at home and the Cavaliers are 25-15 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Hawks and 8-2 for the Cavaliers (current streaks: Hawks L2, Cavaliers W4).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Hawks 117 – 118 Cavaliers, a margin of about 0.2 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Hawks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Hawks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)ATL +1.7 / CLE +4.3 per game
-2.5
Home-court advantageHawks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Hawks
-0.2

Scenarios

Hawks win by 10+
21%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Cavaliers win by 10+
22%

Stat comparison Current season

CLEATL
119.9
Points scored / game
118.4
114.9
Points allowed / game
116.3
46.8 %
Field goal %
46.9 %
36.7 %
3-point %
34.8 %
37.5
3-pointers attempted / game
41.4
79.3 %
Free throw %
72.8 %
47.0
Rebounds / game
41.4
26.3
Assists / game
32.2
8.8
Steals / game
10.2
7.5
Blocks / game
3.6
17.3
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

Cavaliers
James HardenG · #120pts / game
James HardenG · #15assists
Evan MobleyC · #46rebounds
Hawks
CJ McCollumG · #329pts / game
Dyson DanielsG · #512assists
Dyson DanielsG · #510rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CLE
No games played yet.
ATL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CLEATL
51-29Record45-35
119.9Points scored / game118.4
114.9Points allowed / game116.3
+4.3Adjusted margin / game+1.7
W4Current streakL2
8-2Last 10 games7-3
25-15 roadHome / road record23-17 home
64-18 (+9.5)Last season40-42 (-1.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Atlanta Hawks Injury report Hawks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.