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Hawks vs Cavaliers prediction NBA · Wednesday, April 8

FinalRocket Arena · ESPN, FanDuel SN OH, FanDuel SN SE
35% win ATLwin CLE 65%
FavoriteCLE
Projected margin4.7
Projected total235
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Cleveland Cavaliers (50-29) host the Atlanta Hawks (45-34) on Wednesday, April 8 at 7:00 PM ET at Rocket Arena in NBA action. Final score: Hawks 116 – Cavaliers 122. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 65% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Cavaliers are 25-14 at home and the Hawks are 22-17 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Cavaliers and 7-3 for the Hawks (current streaks: Cavaliers W3, Hawks L1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Cavaliers, but the Hawks have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Cavaliers 120 – 115 Hawks, a margin of about 4.7 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Hawks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Cavaliers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CLE +4.2 / ATL +1.8 per game
+2.4
Home-court advantageCavaliers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Cavaliers
+4.7

Scenarios

Cavaliers win by 10+
34%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Hawks win by 10+
12%

Stat comparison Current season

ATLCLE
118.4
Points scored / game
119.9
116.3
Points allowed / game
114.9
46.9 %
Field goal %
46.8 %
34.8 %
3-point %
36.7 %
41.4
3-pointers attempted / game
37.5
72.8 %
Free throw %
79.3 %
41.4
Rebounds / game
47.0
32.2
Assists / game
26.3
10.2
Steals / game
8.8
3.6
Blocks / game
7.5
14.0
Turnovers / game
17.3

Top performers

Hawks
Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG · #725pts / game
Jalen JohnsonF · #16assists
Jalen JohnsonF · #111rebounds
Cavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4531pts / game
Donovan MitchellG · #454assists
Evan MobleyC · #419rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
ATL
No games played yet.
CLE
No games played yet.

Team comparison

ATLCLE
45-34Record50-29
118.4Points scored / game119.9
116.3Points allowed / game114.9
+1.8Adjusted margin / game+4.2
L1Current streakW3
7-3Last 10 games8-2
22-17 roadHome / road record25-14 home
40-42 (-1.1)Last season64-18 (+9.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Atlanta Hawks Injury report Hawks

No injuries reported.

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.