Cavaliers vs Hawks prediction NBA · Friday, November 28
At a glance
The Atlanta Hawks (11-8) host the Cleveland Cavaliers (12-7) on Friday, November 28 at 7:30 PM ET at State Farm Arena in NBA action. Final score: Cavaliers 123 – Hawks 130. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 57% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Hawks are 3-4 at home and the Cavaliers are 4-4 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Hawks and 6-4 for the Cavaliers (current streaks: Hawks L1, Cavaliers L1).
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Hawks 116 – 118 Cavaliers, a margin of about 2.4 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+0.6 vs +5.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Hawks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
CLEATL
Top performers
Cavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4542pts / game
Darius GarlandG · #1010assists
Evan MobleyC · #414reboundsHawks
Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG · #730pts / game
Jalen JohnsonF · #112assistsJalen JohnsonF · #112reboundsRecent form
CLEATLHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
ATL
Team comparison
| CLE | ATL | |
|---|---|---|
| 12-7 | Record | 11-8 |
| 120.0 | Points scored / game | 117.5 |
| 113.9 | Points allowed / game | 116.9 |
| +5.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.6 |
| L1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 4-4 road | Home / road record | 3-4 home |
| 64-18 (+9.5) | Last season | 40-42 (-1.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Cavaliers
Injury report Hawks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.