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Hawks vs Cavaliers prediction NBA · Sunday, November 2

FinalRocket Arena · FanDuel SN OH, NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN SE
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks
3-4 · away
Final score
109-117
Projected: 113-122
Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland Cavaliers
4-3 · home
24% win ATLwin CLE 76%
FavoriteCLE
Projected margin8.7
Projected total234
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Cleveland Cavaliers (3-3) host the Atlanta Hawks (3-3) on Sunday, November 2 at 6:00 PM ET at Rocket Arena in NBA action. Final score: Hawks 109 – Cavaliers 117. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 76% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Cavaliers are 1-1 at home and the Hawks are 3-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-3 for the Cavaliers and 3-3 for the Hawks (current streaks: Cavaliers L2, Hawks W2).

The analysis Model

The Cavaliers start with a clear edge. The model projects Cavaliers 122 – 113 Hawks, a margin of about 8.7 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (+5.1 vs -1.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Hawks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Cavaliers' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.2 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Cavaliers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CLE +5.1 / ATL -1.3 per game
+6.4
Home-court advantageCavaliers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Cavaliers
+8.7

Scenarios

Cavaliers win by 10+
46%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
25%
Hawks win by 10+
7%

Stat comparison Current season

ATLCLE
117.5
Points scored / game
119.2
119.0
Points allowed / game
113.2
46.9 %
Field goal %
46.8 %
34.8 %
3-point %
36.7 %
41.4
3-pointers attempted / game
37.5
72.8 %
Free throw %
79.3 %
41.4
Rebounds / game
47.0
32.2
Assists / game
26.3
10.2
Steals / game
8.8
3.6
Blocks / game
7.5
14.0
Turnovers / game
17.3

Top performers

Hawks
Jalen JohnsonF · #123pts / game
Jalen JohnsonF · #15assists
Jalen JohnsonF · #113rebounds
Cavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4537pts / game
Donovan MitchellG · #455assists
Evan MobleyC · #48rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
ATL
No games played yet.
CLE
No games played yet.

Team comparison

ATLCLE
3-3Record3-3
117.5Points scored / game119.2
119.0Points allowed / game113.2
-1.3Adjusted margin / game+5.1
W2Current streakL2
3-3Last 10 games3-3
3-1 roadHome / road record1-1 home
40-42 (-1.1)Last season64-18 (+9.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Atlanta Hawks Injury report Hawks

No injuries reported.

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.