Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Rockets vs Suns prediction NBA · Tuesday, April 7

FinalMortgage Matchup Center · NBC, Peacock, Space City Home Network
Houston Rockets
Houston Rockets
50-29 · away
Final score
119-105
Projected: 113-112
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns
43-36 · home
53% win HOUwin PHX 47%
FavoriteHOU
Projected margin0.9
Projected total225
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Phoenix Suns (43-35) host the Houston Rockets (49-29) on Tuesday, April 7 at 11:00 PM ET at Mortgage Matchup Center in NBA action. Final score: Rockets 119 – Suns 105. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 53% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Suns are 24-15 at home and the Rockets are 21-19 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Suns and 8-2 for the Rockets (current streaks: Suns W1, Rockets W6).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Suns 112 – 113 Rockets, a margin of about 0.9 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 225 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Suns need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Suns
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHX +0.8 / HOU +4.1 per game
-3.2
Home-court advantageSuns at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Suns
-0.9

Scenarios

Suns win by 10+
19%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Rockets win by 10+
23%

Stat comparison Current season

HOUPHX
114.7
Points scored / game
113.0
109.9
Points allowed / game
112.0
51.7 %
Field goal %
45.6 %
40.4 %
3-point %
31.9 %
32.2
3-pointers attempted / game
39.7
84.7 %
Free throw %
73.9 %
44.8
Rebounds / game
39.7
28.2
Assists / game
25.3
10.2
Steals / game
8.7
6.0
Blocks / game
5.3
15.8
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

Rockets
Kevin DurantF · #724pts / game
Amen ThompsonG · #18assists
Alperen SengunC · #2814rebounds
Suns
Devin BookerG · #1531pts / game
Devin BookerG · #158assists
Mark WilliamsC · #258rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
HOU
No games played yet.
PHX
No games played yet.

Team comparison

HOUPHX
49-29Record43-35
114.7Points scored / game113.0
109.9Points allowed / game112.0
+4.1Adjusted margin / game+0.8
W6Current streakW1
8-2Last 10 games4-6
21-19 roadHome / road record24-15 home
52-30 (+4.5)Last season36-46 (-3.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Houston Rockets Injury report Rockets

No injuries reported.

Phoenix Suns Injury report Suns

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.