Rockets vs Suns prediction NBA · Monday, November 24
At a glance
The Phoenix Suns (11-6) host the Houston Rockets (10-4) on Monday, November 24 at 9:30 PM ET at Mortgage Matchup Center in NBA action. Final score: Rockets 114 – Suns 92. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 63% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Suns are 8-2 at home and the Rockets are 5-2 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Suns and 8-2 for the Rockets (current streaks: Suns W3, Rockets L1).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Rockets, but the Suns have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Suns 112 – 117 Rockets, a margin of about 4.3 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Suns played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+1.6 vs +6.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Suns need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.2 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
HOUPHX
Top performers
Rockets
Amen ThompsonG · #128pts / gameAmen ThompsonG · #18assistsAmen ThompsonG · #17reboundsSuns
Dillon BrooksF · #329pts / game
Devin BookerG · #155assists
Nick RichardsC · #811reboundsRecent form
HOUPHXHead-to-head
HOU lead 4-0 this season.
HOU
Team comparison
| HOU | PHX | |
|---|---|---|
| 10-4 | Record | 11-6 |
| 118.9 | Points scored / game | 116.5 |
| 111.2 | Points allowed / game | 114.7 |
| +6.5 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.6 |
| L1 | Current streak | W3 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 games | 8-2 |
| 5-2 road | Home / road record | 8-2 home |
| 52-30 (+4.5) | Last season | 36-46 (-3.0) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Rockets
Injury report Suns
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.