Suns vs Rockets prediction NBA · Friday, December 5
At a glance
The Houston Rockets (14-5) host the Phoenix Suns (13-9) on Friday, December 5 at 8:00 PM ET at Toyota Center (Houston) in NBA action. Final score: Suns 98 – Rockets 117. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 76% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Rockets are 6-2 at home and the Suns are 5-5 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Rockets and 6-4 for the Suns (current streaks: Rockets W1, Suns W1).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Rockets dominate this matchup. The model projects Rockets 119 – 110 Suns, a margin of about 8.8 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+7.4 vs +1.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Suns need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Rockets' offense (118.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.1 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PHXHOU
Top performers
Suns
Dillon BrooksF · #323pts / gameDillon BrooksF · #34assists
Jordan GoodwinG · #235reboundsRockets
Amen ThompsonG · #131pts / game
Kevin DurantF · #78assists
Steven AdamsC · #128reboundsRecent form
PHXHOUHead-to-head
HOU lead 4-0 this season.
HOU
Team comparison
| PHX | HOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 13-9 | Record | 14-5 |
| 115.8 | Points scored / game | 118.9 |
| 114.7 | Points allowed / game | 110.1 |
| +1.0 | Adjusted margin / game | +7.4 |
| W1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 8-2 |
| 5-5 road | Home / road record | 6-2 home |
| 36-46 (-3.0) | Last season | 52-30 (+4.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Suns
Injury report Rockets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.