Suns vs Rockets prediction NBA · Monday, January 5
At a glance
The Houston Rockets (21-11) host the Phoenix Suns (21-14) on Monday, January 5 at 8:00 PM ET at Toyota Center (Houston) in NBA action. Final score: Suns 97 – Rockets 100. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 78% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Rockets are 10-2 at home and the Suns are 9-9 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Rockets and 7-3 for the Suns (current streaks: Rockets L1, Suns W2).
The analysis Model
The Rockets start with a clear edge. The model projects Rockets 119 – 109 Suns, a margin of about 9.6 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Suns played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+6.4 vs +0.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Suns need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Rockets' offense (118.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.0 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PHXHOU
Top performers
Suns
Devin BookerG · #1527pts / game
Grayson AllenG · #86assists
Oso IghodaroF · #118reboundsRockets
Kevin DurantF · #726pts / game
Amen ThompsonG · #16assists
Steven AdamsC · #1211reboundsRecent form
PHXHOUHead-to-head
HOU lead 4-0 this season.
HOU
Team comparison
| PHX | HOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-14 | Record | 21-11 |
| 114.8 | Points scored / game | 118.4 |
| 114.1 | Points allowed / game | 111.0 |
| +0.7 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.4 |
| W2 | Current streak | L1 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 9-9 road | Home / road record | 10-2 home |
| 36-46 (-3.0) | Last season | 52-30 (+4.5) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Suns
Injury report Rockets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.