Mavericks vs Clippers prediction NBA · Tuesday, April 7
At a glance
The LA Clippers (40-38) host the Dallas Mavericks (25-53) on Tuesday, April 7 at 10:30 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. Final score: Mavericks 103 – Clippers 116. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Clippers a 74% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Clippers are 21-17 at home and the Mavericks are 10-28 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Clippers and 2-8 for the Mavericks (current streaks: Clippers W1, Mavericks W1).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Clippers dominate this matchup. The model projects Clippers 119 – 111 Mavericks, a margin of about 8.1 points in favor of the Clippers and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+1.6 vs -4.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Mavericks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Clippers' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.0 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DALLAC
Top performers
Mavericks
Cooper FlaggF · #3225pts / game
Ryan NembhardG · #97assistsCooper FlaggF · #329reboundsClippers
Kawhi LeonardF · #234pts / game
Darius GarlandG · #104assists
Brook LopezC · #1111reboundsRecent form
DALLACHead-to-head
LAC lead 3-1 this season.
LAC
Team comparison
| DAL | LAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-53 | Record | 40-38 |
| 113.9 | Points scored / game | 113.8 |
| 118.9 | Points allowed / game | 112.0 |
| -4.3 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.6 |
| W1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 2-8 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 10-28 road | Home / road record | 21-17 home |
| 39-43 (-1.2) | Last season | 50-32 (+4.7) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Mavericks
Injury report Clippers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.