Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Mavericks vs Clippers prediction NBA · Saturday, November 29

FinalIntuit Dome · KFAA-TV, MavsTV, FanDuel SN SoCal, NBA G League TV on Tubi
Dallas Mavericks
Dallas Mavericks
6-15 · away
Final score
114-110
Projected: 111-115
LA Clippers
LA Clippers
5-15 · home
36% win DALwin LAC 64%
FavoriteLAC
Projected margin4.4
Projected total225
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The LA Clippers (5-14) host the Dallas Mavericks (5-15) on Saturday, November 29 at 10:00 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. Final score: Mavericks 114 – Clippers 110. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Clippers a 64% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Clippers are 3-6 at home and the Mavericks are 1-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Clippers and 2-8 for the Mavericks (current streaks: Clippers L3, Mavericks L3).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Clippers, but the Mavericks have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Clippers 115 – 111 Mavericks, a margin of about 4.4 points in favor of the Clippers and a total around 225 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Clippers and the Mavericks played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Mavericks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Clippers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAC -1.6 / DAL -3.6 per game
+2.1
Home-court advantageClippers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Clippers
+4.4

Scenarios

Clippers win by 10+
33%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Mavericks win by 10+
13%

Stat comparison Current season

DALLAC
111.6
Points scored / game
112.3
115.9
Points allowed / game
114.1
49.0 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
34.6 %
3-point %
39.0 %
38.2
3-pointers attempted / game
35.3
76.7 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
44.2
Rebounds / game
40.8
27.6
Assists / game
25.0
9.0
Steals / game
12.5
7.4
Blocks / game
4.5
15.6
Turnovers / game
23.0

Top performers

Mavericks
Cooper FlaggF · #3235pts / game
Brandon WilliamsG · #127assists
Cooper FlaggF · #328rebounds
Clippers
Kawhi LeonardF · #230pts / game
James HardenG · #111assists
Ivica ZubacC · #4011rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
DAL
No games played yet.
LAC
No games played yet.

Team comparison

DALLAC
5-15Record5-14
111.6Points scored / game112.3
115.9Points allowed / game114.1
-3.6Adjusted margin / game-1.6
L3Current streakL3
2-8Last 10 games2-8
1-6 roadHome / road record3-6 home
39-43 (-1.2)Last season50-32 (+4.7)
YesPlayed yesterdayYes

Dallas Mavericks Injury report Mavericks

No injuries reported.

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.