Clippers vs Mavericks prediction NBA · Saturday, March 21
At a glance
The Dallas Mavericks (23-47) host the LA Clippers (34-36) on Saturday, March 21 at 8:30 PM ET at American Airlines Center in NBA action. Final score: Clippers 138 – Mavericks 131. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Clippers a 58% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Mavericks are 14-21 at home and the Clippers are 15-21 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Mavericks and 5-5 for the Clippers (current streaks: Mavericks L2, Clippers L4).
The analysis Model
The Clippers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Mavericks 113 – 115 Clippers, a margin of about 2.5 points in favor of the Clippers and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-3.9 vs +0.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Mavericks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Clippers' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.1 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
LACDAL
Top performers
Clippers
Darius GarlandG · #1041pts / gameDarius GarlandG · #1011assists
Brook LopezC · #119reboundsMavericks
Naji MarshallF · #328pts / game
Ryan NembhardG · #99assists
Daniel GaffordF · #2113reboundsRecent form
LACDALHead-to-head
LAC lead 3-1 this season.
LAC
Team comparison
| LAC | DAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 34-36 | Record | 23-47 |
| 113.1 | Points scored / game | 113.4 |
| 112.1 | Points allowed / game | 118.0 |
| +0.9 | Adjusted margin / game | -3.9 |
| L4 | Current streak | L2 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 2-8 |
| 15-21 road | Home / road record | 14-21 home |
| 50-32 (+4.7) | Last season | 39-43 (-1.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Clippers
Injury report Mavericks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.